Filed under penetration
(This topic has an update. To see Microsofts official response on just the numbers, see this post on MIX10 Day 1 Keynote)
Let me start by saying that I love the site www.riastats.com. It’s a highly customizable site with information on the adoption rate of Flash, Silverlight and Java in different countries, browsers and OS:s.
After the jump, we’ll look at some stats for Silverlight.
Global Market Penetration (GMP)
At the middle of 2009, Silverlight enjoyed a 30% GMP according to Microsoft. At last years PDC this figure had risen to 45% according to Scott Guthrie. I also made a small blurb about this at the time.
Now in March, RIAstats reports GMP rates of 60% for Windows 7 users and a whopping 65.7% for Windows Vista users. If Silverlight keeps gaining market presence at this rate, the goal of near 100% market penetration should be achieved during 2010.
While these numbers are more or less even the modern world over, there seems to be a slight higher adoption rate in the Nordic region. Even though operating system seems to be the biggest divider, both Sweden, Denmark and Norway sport high GMPs regardless of OS. Norway leads the charge with a 70% GMP over all available Operating Systems (79% on Vista).
There is a good chance that Norway will be one of the first countries to achieve full Silverlight permeation.
Providing that 2010 is the year in which Silverlight installation ceases to be an issue and starts being an expected state, we need to start asking different questions. Questions such as which are the new expectations services such as Grooveshark, Facebook, Pixlr and Flickr should have of their browser plugin. Silverlight today outdoes Flash in functionality, maintainability and security. Flash was never meant to be an all purpose web development platform and the last years has shown that it certainly is not.
The security risks that Flash poses is a post in itself but I leave you with a quote from security expert Charlie Miller which in a recent interview answered the question which the safest OS/Browser combination was as follows:
“That’s a good question. Chrome or IE8 on Windows 7 with no Flash installed. There probably isn’t enough difference between the browsers to get worked up about. The main thing is not to install Flash!”
This Saturday, I leave for MIX10 in fabulous Las Vegas. I’ll be updating Fragile Development as often as my schedule allows. Please make sure to tune in on Monday for the first pieces of coverage.